Grêmio vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
BSC
0 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ATM
0 - 0
GRE
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
NAU
73%
17%
9%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CRZ
0 - 0
SCI
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
CRZ
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CRZ
1 - 1
VAS
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
FFL
2 - 0
CRZ
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
CRZ
21%
26%
53%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | -1 |