Grêmio vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
12.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 1
GRE
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 0
GRE
13%
23%
64%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
ATP
54%
24%
23%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 0
NOV
82%
14%
5%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
GRE
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
GOI
1 - 1
CRI
64%
22%
15%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
FLA
4 - 1
CRI
62%
22%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
CRI
1 - 1
ATM
24%
26%
50%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
CRI
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
CRI
1 - 2
FLU
26%
27%
47%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |