Grêmio vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
FFL
0 - 1
GRE
28%
28%
44%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 0
GOI
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 0
PAL
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 0
GRE
24%
28%
48%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRE
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
COT
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
COT
0 - 2
FFL
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
COT
3 - 0
GOI
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
CRI
1 - 0
COT
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
ATP
2 - 0
COT
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |