Grêmio vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2001 |
GRE
1 - 0
RIV
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
JUV
1 - 2
GRE
34%
25%
42%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
GRE
1 - 0
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
PPE
3 - 2
GRE
49%
24%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
GRE
3 - 1
AMF
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
COR
3 - 2
COT
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
COT
2 - 3
BOT
41%
25%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2001 |
FLA
0 - 1
COT
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
COT
1 - 1
SAO
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
COT
3 - 2
CRZ
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |