Grêmio vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
ARN
0 - 3
GRE
23%
27%
50%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRE
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 2
FFL
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
ATP
2 - 0
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
GRE
4 - 3
NAU
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2007 |
COR
0 - 1
VAS
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
GOI
1 - 1
COR
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
COR
2 - 2
ATP
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
FLA
2 - 1
COR
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
COR
2 - 1
FFL
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |