Grêmio vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 2
GRE
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
CRI
0 - 2
GRE
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
GRE
4 - 3
VAS
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
GRE
2 - 0
PAY
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
CRZ
3 - 0
GRE
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
COR
1 - 1
PAR
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
COR
1 - 2
BAH
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
GUA
0 - 1
COR
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
COR
2 - 0
GOI
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
COT
1 - 0
COR
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |