Grêmio vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2002 |
OPE
2 - 4
GRE
29%
24%
47%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2001 |
ATM
3 - 0
GRE
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
GRE
3 - 1
POR
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2001 |
GRE
0 - 0
FLA
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
ATM
2 - 0
GRE
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
OPE
3 - 1
CIE
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2002 |
CIE
3 - 0
12O
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |