Grêmio vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CRU
0 - 2
GRE
7%
18%
75%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 1
ECS
77%
17%
6%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
PAS
81%
15%
4%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
FLA
2 - 0
GRE
50%
25%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAX
2 - 1
GRE
7%
17%
77%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
CEA
0 - 0
FLA
22%
26%
52%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 1
CEA
13%
20%
67%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
BOA
1 - 0
CEA
10%
17%
73%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 1
CEA
10%
18%
72%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
CEA
2 - 0
HOR
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |