Grêmio vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1995 |
GRE
4 - 1
EME
68%
19%
14%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1995 |
GRE
2 - 1
DES
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1995 |
GRE
0 - 0
PAL
35%
29%
36%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1995 |
NAC
1 - 2
GRE
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1995 |
EME
2 - 2
GRE
46%
24%
31%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1995 |
PAL
7 - 0
NAC
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1995 |
NAC
0 - 2
EME
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1995 |
NAC
1 - 2
GRE
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1995 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAL
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1995 |
EME
1 - 1
NAC
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |