Grêmio vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
BRA
0 - 0
GRE
8%
23%
69%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 3
COR
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 1
GRE
49%
26%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 1
SAO
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
CRZ
1 - 1
GRE
46%
27%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
MON
0 - 1
CAX
10%
17%
73%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
CFC
1 - 4
CAX
8%
15%
77%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
CAX
4 - 2
CFC
78%
14%
7%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CSA
2 - 1
CAX
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CAX
2 - 0
ABC
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |