Gaucho 1 Semi-finals
Global 5-3
Grêmio vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
3.1%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAX
1 - 2
GRE
11%
21%
69%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 0
BRA
87%
10%
3%
|
90 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
4 - 1
GUA
96%
3%
1%
|
90 | 50 | 40 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SCI
3 - 2
GRE
52%
23%
25%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
6 - 2
SAN
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 45 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAX
1 - 2
GRE
11%
21%
69%
|
65 | 90 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
CAX
2 - 2
BAH
13%
23%
64%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
CAX
1 - 0
ECS
36%
25%
38%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 1
CAX
22%
26%
53%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
CAX
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |