Gaucho 1 Final Gaucho 1 Final
Global 3-2
Grêmio vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.7%
2-0
19%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
22.1%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
12%
3.2%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
CAX
0 - 2
GRE
15%
25%
60%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
VAS
0 - 0
GRE
25%
27%
47%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
FLA
1 - 1
GRE
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
GRE
0 - 0
COR
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 1
GRE
22%
27%
52%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
CAX
0 - 2
GRE
15%
25%
60%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
YPI
0 - 0
CAX
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
CAX
2 - 0
PEL
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
JUV
2 - 0
CAX
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CAX
2 - 1
NOV
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |