Grêmio vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
19.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
20.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
27.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
19.3%
6%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SCI
0 - 0
GRE
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 0
JUV
75%
18%
6%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
PAS
0 - 2
GRE
13%
23%
64%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 1
VER
77%
18%
5%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 1
BRA
78%
17%
5%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
CAP
3 - 0
CAX
56%
23%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ECA
1 - 0
CAX
23%
27%
50%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAX
2 - 1
AIM
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 0
CAX
46%
27%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CAX
1 - 2
SCI
16%
25%
59%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |