Grêmio vs Canoas SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.7%
3-0
15%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.5%
3.6%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
LIG
1 - 0
GRE
33%
25%
42%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ESP
0 - 2
GRE
8%
18%
74%
|
85 | 48 | 37 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 0
SCI
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FFL
2 - 4
GRE
30%
26%
45%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
POR
2 - 2
GRE
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Canoas SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CAN
0 - 0
CAX
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 0
CAN
87%
10%
3%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CAN
3 - 1
PEL
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CAN
2 - 0
ECS
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SCI
1 - 0
CAN
87%
10%
3%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |