Grêmio vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
JUV
1 - 2
GRE
34%
25%
42%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
GRE
1 - 0
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
PPE
3 - 2
GRE
49%
24%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
GRE
3 - 1
AMF
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2001 |
GRE
3 - 1
PAL
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
CHI
2 - 1
RIV
16%
20%
64%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
RIV
3 - 0
EST
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
CAU
1 - 1
RIV
22%
22%
56%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
RIV
4 - 1
HUR
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
TAL
1 - 3
RIV
28%
23%
49%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |