Copa Libertadores Final
Global 0-5
Grêmio vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
45.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 2
CRZ
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2007 |
BOC
3 - 0
GRE
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
VAS
4 - 0
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2007 |
SAN
3 - 1
GRE
59%
24%
18%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
BOT
3 - 0
GRE
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
LAN
0 - 0
BOC
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2007 |
BOC
3 - 0
GRE
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
BOC
1 - 0
BEL
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2007 |
BOC
3 - 0
CUC
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
COL
2 - 1
BOC
28%
25%
48%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |