Gaucho 1 Final
Global 7-0
Grêmio vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 1
ECA
82%
14%
4%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ECA
0 - 3
GRE
11%
21%
68%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
SCI
2 - 0
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
3 - 0
SCI
59%
24%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SCI
1 - 2
GRE
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 1
ECS
62%
23%
16%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
ECS
1 - 1
BRA
18%
24%
58%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 1
SLU
66%
21%
12%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SLU
1 - 1
BRA
16%
22%
62%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 2
BRA
15%
22%
64%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |