Grêmio vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 2
JUV
76%
17%
7%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
PAS
1 - 5
GRE
11%
22%
68%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 0
LAJ
81%
15%
5%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
YPI
1 - 2
GRE
10%
22%
69%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
SLO
1 - 1
GRE
49%
27%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 0
PAS
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
SCI
4 - 1
BRA
81%
14%
5%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 0
ECS
34%
27%
40%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 1
BRA
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
ATP
15%
24%
61%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |