Grêmio vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
15.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.8%
2-0
19.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.5%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
22.4%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.1%
2.9%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ECA
1 - 2
GRE
10%
19%
71%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 0
JUV
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 2
SCI
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
VER
3 - 1
GRE
10%
18%
72%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 5
GRE
11%
19%
70%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 3
YPI
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
SAP
2 - 2
BRA
54%
23%
24%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
SLU
2 - 0
BRA
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CAX
2 - 1
BRA
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 1
ECS
31%
26%
44%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |