Grêmio vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
20.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 1
ATM
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
5 - 1
GRE
26%
28%
46%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
ATM
1 - 3
GRE
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 0
AMF
68%
21%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
GRE
32%
28%
41%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
PPE
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
BOT
63%
22%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 2
CHA
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 0
BOT
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 0
COT
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |