Grêmio vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
ATP
1 - 1
GRE
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAO
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 0
GRE
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
VIT
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 0
FLU
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 0
FFL
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
PPE
0 - 2
BOT
32%
27%
41%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
BAH
2 - 1
BOT
26%
26%
48%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 1
CRZ
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |