Grêmio vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
GRE
3 - 0
PAY
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
GOI
4 - 1
GRE
42%
25%
34%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2002 |
FLA
2 - 3
GRE
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
GRE
4 - 0
VIT
55%
24%
22%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2002 |
GRE
2 - 0
JUV
56%
24%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
BOT
1 - 1
SAO
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
BOT
2 - 1
PPE
40%
26%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
BAH
1 - 2
BOT
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
BOT
0 - 2
COT
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2002 |
POR
2 - 0
BOT
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |