Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 3-1
Grêmio vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1996 |
CRI
1 - 1
GRE
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1996 |
BOT
1 - 1
GRE
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1996 |
GRE
3 - 0
ATP
67%
20%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1996 |
GRE
4 - 1
IND
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1996 |
ATP
1 - 1
GRE
39%
26%
36%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1996 |
BOT
1 - 1
GRE
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1996 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOT
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1996 |
BOT
3 - 1
UCH
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1996 |
BOT
0 - 0
PAR
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1996 |
UCH
2 - 1
BOT
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |