Grêmio vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
GRE
1 - 3
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1983 |
GRE
2 - 0
BLO
82%
11%
6%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
SAO
2 - 2
GRE
54%
23%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1983 |
GRE
2 - 1
SPO
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
GRE
5 - 1
SAO
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1983 |
BLO
3 - 0
BOL
46%
23%
31%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1983 |
BOL
3 - 1
FLA
23%
24%
53%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1983 |
BOL
1 - 2
GRE
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
BOL
6 - 0
BLO
64%
18%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1979 |
OLI
3 - 0
BOL
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |