Grêmio vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
42.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 0
GRE
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
GRE
6 - 1
PPE
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 0
GRE
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 3
PAL
41%
25%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
CRZ
2 - 0
GRE
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
PPE
2 - 3
ATP
30%
25%
45%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
ATP
6 - 1
CRI
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 2
ATP
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ATP
2 - 1
SCI
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
GOI
2 - 0
ATP
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |