Grêmio vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88%
Win probability
4.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.8%
6-0
4%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
4%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
2%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.7%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
7.3%
4.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1983 |
AME
1 - 0
GRE
43%
26%
32%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1983 |
GRE
2 - 1
EST
48%
28%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
FLA
1 - 3
GRE
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1983 |
GRE
3 - 1
BOL
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
GRE
1 - 3
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1983 |
EST
2 - 0
AME
94%
4%
2%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1983 |
AME
1 - 0
GRE
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
AME
2 - 0
ALI
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
AME
2 - 0
UNI
45%
23%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1983 |
TOL
0 - 2
AME
67%
17%
16%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |