Grêmio vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 2
GRE
48%
26%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
PPE
0 - 0
GRE
31%
26%
44%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 1
BAH
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 0
COT
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
COT
2 - 1
GRE
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
BOT
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
BAH
0 - 0
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
POR
2 - 0
FFL
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
POR
3 - 1
NAU
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 0
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |