Grêmio Osasco vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
46.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
AME
3 - 0
GRE
58%
21%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 2
AUD
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
CAT
3 - 2
GRE
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
5 - 1
GRE
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 4
ATL
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 2
MAR
25%
22%
52%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 0
FLA
56%
23%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 3
SAO
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CAT
2 - 1
SAO
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |