Grêmio Osasco vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
55.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 2
AAP
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
AGU
1 - 0
GRE
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 0
BER
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 5
SAO
20%
25%
55%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 2
GRE
70%
20%
10%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
AGU
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAN
47%
27%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
AAP
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 17 | 39 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
BER
0 - 1
SAN
22%
25%
53%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 2
GRE
70%
20%
10%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |