Grêmio Osasco vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
GRE
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
GRE
0 - 1
SAO
47%
24%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FLA
2 - 0
GRE
86%
11%
3%
|
45 | 82 | 37 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GRE
0 - 0
ITA
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
INT
2 - 0
GRE
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
GRE
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 0
FLA
7%
16%
77%
|
44 | 82 | 38 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
OSV
0 - 2
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 2
FRA
49%
24%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |