Grêmio Osasco vs Osvaldo Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 1
GRE
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
INT
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
GRE
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
TAU
1 - 4
GRE
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
SER
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Osvaldo Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
OSV
2 - 2
TAB
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 4
OSV
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
5 - 0
OSV
62%
22%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
OSV
2 - 4
CAP
21%
23%
56%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
OSV
0 - 1
BAT
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |