Grêmio Osasco vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 0
GRE
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 1
JUV
45%
26%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
TAU
0 - 1
GRE
35%
27%
39%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
GRE
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 2
SAO
27%
26%
47%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
GRÊ
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 1
ATI
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ATI
2 - 1
NAC
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 1
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
PRI
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |