Grêmio Osasco vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
GRE
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRE
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 0
TAB
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 0
BER
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
ATI
1 - 1
GRE
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MON
0 - 3
NOR
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
RIO
2 - 0
MON
49%
24%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
POR
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
RIO
2 - 0
MON
29%
26%
46%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -2 |