Grêmio Osasco vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
44.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
GRE
44%
24%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
BAT
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
GRE
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAO
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FRA
0 - 1
GRE
39%
25%
37%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
GUA
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 3
FRA
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 2
MAR
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
MAR
28%
23%
49%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAT
57%
22%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |