Grêmio Osasco vs Itapirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
IND
50%
23%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ECN
1 - 1
GRE
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
OSV
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 1
GRE
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
INT
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SER
3 - 2
ITA
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 1
SAO
47%
23%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
INT
1 - 0
ITA
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
3 - 1
ECN
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 4
OSV
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |