Grêmio Osasco vs Itapirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
INT
2 - 0
GRE
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
GRE
4 - 2
GRÊ
21%
22%
57%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 2
PFC
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 2
GRE
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GRE
3 - 2
TAU
42%
24%
34%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 4
JUV
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 1
ITA
45%
25%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 2
INT
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 0
ITA
85%
12%
3%
|
49 | 82 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 0
PFC
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |