Grêmio Osasco vs Guaçuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
GRE
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 0
MAR
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
GRE
44%
24%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
BAT
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
GRE
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guaçuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
GRE
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
JUV
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
GUA
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 1
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
RIO
20%
21%
60%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |