Grêmio Osasco vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 0
GRE
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 0
RIO
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 1
JUV
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 4
GRE
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 2
GUA
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
AUD
3 - 1
FER
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
FER
1 - 0
ATL
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
FER
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FER
0 - 2
UNI
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
5 - 0
FER
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -2 |