Grêmio Osasco vs EC São Bernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
ATI
1 - 1
GRE
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 1
RIO
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 2
VEL
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
NOR
2 - 2
GRE
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 1
POR
48%
25%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
BER
1 - 0
SAO
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 1
BER
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
BER
1 - 1
MON
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
BER
57%
25%
18%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
BER
0 - 2
NOR
33%
26%
41%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -2 |