Grêmio Osasco vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CAP
2 - 0
GRE
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 0
OLI
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
BER
3 - 1
GRE
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
TAB
0 - 2
GRE
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
GRE
4 - 0
SAO
39%
27%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
COM
1 - 1
DES
34%
26%
39%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
PRI
0 - 0
COM
29%
29%
42%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
COM
2 - 0
OLI
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CAP
2 - 0
COM
58%
23%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
COM
2 - 3
AUD
45%
25%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |