Grêmio Osasco vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
IND
0 - 2
GRE
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 1
ATI
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 1
ITA
57%
24%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
GRE
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 2
INT
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 3
COM
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
COM
3 - 0
IND
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VOT
0 - 2
COM
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
COM
0 - 0
RBB
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
COM
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |