Grêmio Osasco vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CAT
1 - 1
GRE
47%
23%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 3
LIN
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
GRE
0 - 2
SAO
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 2
GRE
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 2
GRE
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
ATL
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 2
AME
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 1
ATL
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
OSV
1 - 0
ATL
37%
25%
39%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 4
LIN
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |