Maringá vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
FER
0 - 1
GRE
70%
20%
10%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 2
FER
24%
29%
47%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
JEC
0 - 0
GRE
59%
23%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 2
ECA
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 0
TCW
40%
26%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 0
ECA
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
ECA
2 - 1
JEC
44%
27%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
JEC
0 - 0
GRE
59%
23%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
JEC
68%
21%
11%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
JEC
0 - 1
TUB
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |