Maringá vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
45.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
CAX
1 - 2
GRE
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 2
MET
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
MET
2 - 0
GRE
45%
25%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 0
CAX
51%
26%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
ITU
4 - 0
GRE
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 1
ITU
25%
25%
50%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
PAU
3 - 1
ITU
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
ITU
5 - 0
MET
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
ITU
2 - 1
SAO
18%
24%
58%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
ITU
2 - 1
CAX
66%
22%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |