Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 4-8
Maringá vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
76.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.2%
0-3
12%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ATP
1 - 0
GRE
81%
13%
6%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 2
ATP
11%
24%
65%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 0
CIA
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CIA
1 - 0
GRE
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
FLU
4 - 1
FLA
40%
25%
36%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
AUC
2 - 1
FLA
18%
22%
60%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 0
FLU
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
VAS
1 - 3
FLA
13%
20%
67%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
FLA
3 - 2
VAS
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |