Maringá vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
ITU
4 - 0
GRE
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
COT
3 - 1
GRE
74%
18%
8%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 2
LON
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
FOZ
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TCW
3 - 0
GRE
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
CAX
1 - 1
URS
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
CAX
2 - 1
MET
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
CAX
35%
29%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CAX
1 - 0
TUP
67%
20%
12%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
URS
0 - 1
CAX
36%
28%
36%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |