Maringá vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
ATP
5 - 0
GRE
82%
13%
4%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 0
GRE
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
3 - 1
CAS
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CIA
2 - 0
GRE
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 0
FOZ
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 1
UBE
32%
27%
42%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
AMF
2 - 0
CAL
78%
17%
6%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAL
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 1
URT
40%
28%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 2
PAT
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |