Maringá vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
69.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LON
3 - 1
GRE
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 2
CIA
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
COT
2 - 2
GRE
74%
18%
9%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 0
PST
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
GRE
19%
22%
58%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AMF
1 - 1
ATM
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
AMF
0 - 0
VIL
87%
10%
3%
|
86 | 48 | 38 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
CRZ
0 - 2
AMF
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
AMF
2 - 0
UBE
86%
10%
3%
|
85 | 46 | 39 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 0
AMF
5%
13%
82%
|
85 | 39 | 46 | 0 |