Grêmio U20 vs São Paulo U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 2
GRE
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
5 - 3
GRE
52%
21%
28%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
COI
2 - 4
GRE
11%
15%
75%
|
42 | 10 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
GRE
4 - 1
MIR
78%
13%
8%
|
42 | 9 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
IDB
2 - 6
GRE
4%
13%
84%
|
42 | 6 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 2
ATL
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
NOV
3 - 2
SAO
11%
15%
73%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
FER
1 - 2
SAO
13%
16%
71%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CEA
1 - 1
SAO
35%
22%
43%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
FER
2 - 1
SAO
5%
13%
82%
|
42 | 10 | 32 | -2 |