Grêmio Barueri vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
11%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 0
GRÊ
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
ATM
0 - 0
GRÊ
75%
15%
10%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 3
GRÊ
50%
23%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PFC
2 - 4
GRÊ
15%
19%
66%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 1
ATM
18%
21%
61%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 0
FLA
8%
16%
76%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 1
ITA
45%
25%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
TAB
0 - 1
VEL
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
PFC
2 - 0
VEL
21%
23%
57%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 2
INT
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |